Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2440.012695 2644.206310 2851.296304 3076.747441 3314.966894 3558.891829 3827.233828
2025-01-26 2172.313313 2482.495465 2808.918911 3176.859964 3578.866955 4003.591894 4485.057919
2025-02-02 1989.499816 2365.050758 2771.125055 3240.409129 3765.327539 4331.982703 4987.480795
2025-02-09 1812.593870 2230.473695 2693.060733 3239.135285 3862.088111 4546.631549 5351.661812
2025-02-16 1654.487118 2101.512745 2607.058654 3215.315984 3921.374048 4709.356758 5649.291729
2025-02-23 1554.326932 2030.494409 2579.202415 3250.366801 4041.117424 4935.263448 6014.599291
2025-03-02 1446.339697 1941.868219 2523.358687 3245.921409 4109.277890 5097.572765 6303.797172
2025-03-09 1378.079830 1896.188919 2514.090926 3292.620375 4234.303792 5323.732337 6666.016627
2025-03-16 1280.027916 1807.450306 2447.205786 3264.931344 4266.520570 5437.797410 6894.763041
2025-03-23 1237.752574 1786.040816 2460.544271 3332.939804 4412.492784 5685.994734 7282.322631
2025-03-30 1175.304750 1734.972490 2433.678412 3348.495644 4492.498697 5854.063378 7574.087836
2025-04-06 1110.664131 1677.464632 2395.542514 3347.157562 4549.496835 5992.912883 7830.098327
2025-04-13 1007.774738 1565.166946 2284.014684 3250.569864 4486.835645 5986.197421 7911.492196
2025-04-20 994.480497 1573.473768 2329.020574 3354.613047 4676.863797 6291.093567 8375.640845
2025-04-27 967.405043 1561.061388 2345.415057 3420.737493 4818.607572 6536.797500 8768.540636
2025-05-04 916.524220 1512.736273 2311.694909 3419.412175 4872.819074 6672.883246 9026.133415
2025-05-11 860.587230 1454.403228 2261.956569 3394.629452 4894.957013 6767.528791 9231.627542
2025-05-18 830.120253 1431.251501 2258.935017 3431.097306 4995.976930 6961.556241 9561.926891
2025-05-25 787.524653 1388.194963 2226.583761 3426.472426 5042.065216 7085.279779 9803.935366
2025-06-01 765.155844 1374.125010 2233.840171 3475.053597 5158.070200 7298.546801 10160.027298
2025-06-08 719.376889 1322.429681 2185.969829 3446.249441 5169.926232 7377.215352 10344.928454
2025-06-15 707.124363 1321.554550 2210.221237 3516.992270 5314.988690 7628.392044 10751.032963
2025-06-22 679.118690 1294.781930 2195.984633 3533.171411 5386.136856 7783.661383 11034.872216